Spatiotemporal Trends and Distributions of Malaria Incidence in the Northwest Ethiopia

Table 2

Model comparisons of parametric and nonparametric spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria incidence.

Model	Distribution	Marginal log likelihood	DIC	WAIC
Parametric spatiotemporal trend	Poisson	−1,203,581.6	2,182,313.12	2,027,216.46
	Negative binomial	−78,831.76	156,807.64	156,957.38
	Zero-inflated negative binomial	−159,539.98	209,438.41	209,998.69
Nonparametric spatiotemporal dynamics	Poisson	−874,923.54	1,564,501.48	1,552,981.12
	Negative binomial	−76,612.81	152,246.15	152,350.83
	Zero-inflated negative binomial	−76,608.81	152,250.74	152,355.08

The bold values indicate the selected distribution for each model.