Spatiotemporal Trends and Distributions of Malaria Incidence in the Northwest Ethiopia

Table 4

Nonparametric dynamic trend estimate of malaria incidence in northwest Ethiopia between 2012 and 2020.

Variable	Mean	Mode	Standard deviation	0.025 quantile	0.975 quantile
Fixed effect
Intercept	−7.356	−7.356	0.039	−7.434	−7.278
Precision of hyperparameters random effects
BYM model	0.251	3.254	0.038	0.177	0.327
RW2 model	13.48	11.32	3.84	8.08	22.96
Spatial heterogeneity	4.93	3.38	2.35	2.26	11.12
Temporal variability	34.21	29.57	9.40	20.43	56.99

BYM, Besag–York–Mollié; RW2, random walk order 2. Dispersion parameter = 1.36 (test statistic =   = 1,596,619.48 (-value <0.05).