Research Article

Study of the Flood Frequency Based on Normal Transformation in Arid Inland Region: A Case Study of Manas River in North-Western China

Table 5

The calculation results of goodness of fitness.

Hydrologic serryRSSMSE
P-III distributionBox–Cox transformationJohnson transformationP-III distributionBox–Cox transformationJohnson transformation

Flood peakHigh10%67034.1379364.9048848.5711172.3513227.488141.43
30%77033.5689651.9053797.424279.644980.662988.75
50%79019.5493676.9854608.962633.983122.571820.30
Low10%10112.164281.463005.881685.36713.58500.98
30%11622.916278.013621.84645.72348.78201.21

Maximum 1 d flood volumeHigh10%437.10323.04427.5573.0053.8471.26
30%458.85353.17430.1125.4919.6223.90
50%459.82355.81430.5015.3311.8614.35
Low10%17.5716.755.902.932.790.98
30%26.8133.338.391.491.850.47

Maximum 3 d flood volumeHigh10%1619.241307.611771.43269.87217.93295.24
30%1806.611532.901834.97100.3785.16101.94
50%1832.431564.001846.3961.0852.1361.55
Low10%142.75103.3333.8123.7917.225.63
30%186.77172.8551.8710.389.602.88

Maximum 5 d flood volumeHigh10%3350.422891.582884.61558.40481.93480.77
30%3604.413220.962964.18200.25178.94164.68
50%3689.123308.463055.62122.97110.28101.85
Low10%279.59191.31120.7146.6031.8920.12
30%360.82313.14167.5320.0517.409.31