Short-Term Power Generation Energy Forecasting Model for Small Hydropower Stations Using GA-SVM

Table 4

AIC value and performance indices of alternative ARMA models for Yunlong County.

(𝑝, 𝑞)	AIC	Calibration		Validation
		RMSE	MAPE	RMSE	MAPE
(3, 12)	9.5266	114.30	8.70	82.07	5.58
(4, 8)	9.5270	114.84	8.87	83.40	5.24
(5, 13)	9.5153	113.17	8.98	78.49	5.06
(6, 12)	9.5281	113.98	8.91	78.54	5.04
(7, 12)	9.5276	113.80	8.90	77.88	4.99
(8, 8)	9.5265	113.66	8.85	80.18	5.22