The Method of Oilfield Development Risk Forecasting and Early Warning Using Revised Bayesian Network

Table 1

The historical data of an oilfield from 2007.07 to 2009.12.

Date	OPRP	LPRO	LPC	OPC	PEC	WAC	PML
2007.07	5637	92297	0.3018	0.0075	1549.26	1.5842	5.1452
2007.08	5248	92695	0.3016	0.0072	1629.54	1.6147	3.4864
2007.09	4855	91884	0.3017	0.0074	1302.18	1.6174	6.0758
⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮
2009.10	4254	112409	0.3017	0.007	234.916	1.504	1.5744
2009.11	3439	98884	0.3018	0.0069	231.74	1.5106	1.6142
2009.12	3260	97499	0.3018	0.0069	226.067	1.5154	1.5144