Research Article
Prediction of Natural Gas Consumption in Different Regions of China Using a Hybrid MVO-NNGBM Model
Table 1
MAPE of prediction results for 30 regions in China.
| | Region | MAPE
Province | GM (1,1) | Verhulst | NGBM (1,1) | MVO-NGBM |
| | North China | Beijing | 16.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | | Tianjin | 21.8% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | | Hebei | 15.2% | 2.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | | Shanxi | 16.8% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | | Inner Mongolia | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| | Northeast China | Liaoning | 20.8% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | | Jilin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | | Heilongjiang | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| | East China | Shanghai | 6.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | | Jiangsu | 10.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | | Zhejiang | 14.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | | Anhui | 9.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | | Fujian | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | | Jiangxi | 13.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | | Shandong | 8.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| | South-Central China | Henan | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | | Hubei | 10.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | | Hunan | 10.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | | Guangdong | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 0.2% | | Guangxi | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | | Hainan | 1.0% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| | West China | Chongqing | 7.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | | Sichuan | 3.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | | Guizhou | 32.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | | Yunnan | 9.0% | 57.8% | 14.9% | 3.9% | | Shaanxi | 6.0% | 0.8% | 20.9% | 0.7% | | Gansu | 10.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 0.2% | | Qinghai | 5.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | | Ningxia | 4.0% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% | | Xinjiang | 12.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| | Average | 10.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
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