Research Article
A Novel Ensemble Wind Speed Forecasting Model in the Longdong Area of Loess Plateau in China
Table 3
The MSE, MAE and MAPE of experiment II for wind turbine II in each season.
| Season | Evaluation criteria | BPNN | SVM | ELM | EEMD- BPNN | EEMD- SVM | EEMD- ELM | TCM |
| First season | MSE(m/s) | 0.2642 | 0.2569 | 0.2627 | 0.1676 | 0.1634 | 0.1652 | 0.1657 | MAE(m/s) | 0.4149 | 0.4101 | 0.4131 | 0.3461 | 0.3435 | 0.3438 | 0.3441 | MAPE(%) | 25.18% | 24.33% | 25.06% | 19.51% | 19.40% | 19.42% | 19.34% |
| Second season | MSE(m/s) | 0.4851 | 0.4941 | 0.5156 | 0.3117 | 0.2966 | 0.2945 | 0.2949 | MAE(m/s) | 0.5322 | 0.5309 | 0.5445 | 0.4414 | 0.4371 | 0.4283 | 0.4334 | MAPE(%) | 34.23% | 33.33% | 35.01% | 26.46% | 26.47% | 25.89% | 26.12% |
| Third season | MSE(m/s) | 0.3199 | 0.3034 | 0.321 | 0.1554 | 0.1529 | 0.1567 | 0.1577 | MAE(m/s) | 0.445 | 0.4289 | 0.4399 | 0.3237 | 0.3193 | 0.3233 | 0.3260 | MAPE(%) | 29.33% | 27.90% | 29.11% | 19.65% | 19.64% | 19.71% | 19.85% |
| Fourth season | MSE(m/s) | 0.3599 | 0.3288 | 0.3399 | 0.1619 | 0.1555 | 0.1610 | 0.1585 | MAE(m/s) | 0.4777 | 0.4527 | 0.4639 | 0.3195 | 0.3196 | 0.3254 | 0.3226 | MAPE(%) | 35.55% | 33.46% | 34.68% | 20.57% | 20.65% | 21.18% | 21.08% |
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