Research Article

A Novel Ensemble Wind Speed Forecasting Model in the Longdong Area of Loess Plateau in China

Table 3

The MSE, MAE and MAPE of experiment II for wind turbine II in each season.

SeasonEvaluation criteriaBPNNSVMELMEEMD-
BPNN
EEMD-
SVM
EEMD-
ELM
TCM

First seasonMSE(m/s)0.26420.25690.26270.16760.16340.16520.1657
MAE(m/s)0.41490.41010.41310.34610.34350.34380.3441
MAPE(%)25.18%24.33%25.06%19.51%19.40%19.42%19.34%

Second seasonMSE(m/s)0.48510.49410.51560.31170.29660.29450.2949
MAE(m/s)0.53220.53090.54450.44140.43710.42830.4334
MAPE(%)34.23%33.33%35.01%26.46%26.47%25.89%26.12%

Third seasonMSE(m/s)0.31990.30340.3210.15540.15290.15670.1577
MAE(m/s)0.4450.42890.43990.32370.31930.32330.3260
MAPE(%)29.33%27.90%29.11%19.65%19.64%19.71%19.85%

Fourth seasonMSE(m/s)0.35990.32880.33990.16190.15550.16100.1585
MAE(m/s)0.47770.45270.46390.31950.31960.32540.3226
MAPE(%)35.55%33.46%34.68%20.57%20.65%21.18%21.08%