Research Article

New Insights into Approaches to Evaluating Intention and Path for Network Multistep Attacks

Table 1

Symbols and their descriptions in this paper.

SymbolDescription

AGAttack graph
AMCAbsorbing Markov chain
SSet of all state nodes
OSet of all transient state nodes
GSet of all absorbing state nodes
ASet of all atomic attack nodes
ESet of total edges in AG
Set of total edge probabilities
nNumber of all states
tNumber of all transient states
rNumber of all absorbing states
SiThe i-th attack state
Set of out-going edges of Si
Edge between and
Dependent atomic attack from to
Probability of
EAIPExpected success probability of attack intention
EAPLExpected attack path length
PState transition matrix
PmState transition matrix after launching m steps of atomic attacks
QTransition matrix of transient states
RTransition matrix from transient states to absorbing states
NFundamental matrix
IIdentity matrix
CUnit vector
BCalculation matrix of EAIP
TCalculation matrix of EAPL
ProbRankRanking of absorbing states according to their EAIPs
LengRankRanking of transient states according to their EAPLs