Reliability Evaluation and In-Orbit Residual Life Prediction for Satellite Lithium-Ion Batteries

<table class="table-group" id="tab1"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Name</td><td class="align_center">Point estimate</td><td class="align_center">85% CIs</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Mean life</td><td class="align_center">160</td><td class="align_center"><span style="width: 51.8379ptpx;"><svg height="11.439pt" id="M63" style="vertical-align:-2.15067pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 51.8379 11.439" width="51.8379pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M290 -163V-135C183 -126 181 -122 181 -44V583C181 662 184 666 290 675V703H120V-163H290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.485,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 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662 165 584V-43C165 -122 162 -126 56 -136V-163H226Z"></path></g></svg></span></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Median life</td><td class="align_center">145</td><td class="align_center"><span style="width: 51.8379ptpx;"><svg height="11.439pt" id="M64" style="vertical-align:-2.15067pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 51.8379 11.439" width="51.8379pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M290 -163V-135C183 -126 181 -122 181 -44V583C181 662 184 666 290 675V703H120V-163H290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.485,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,10.725,0)"><path d="M285 378C315 398 338 416 353 432C373 451 384 474 384 503C384 579 325 635 236 635H235C182 635 136 610 108 579L65 516L85 496C110 533 150 575 205 575C258 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transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,34.588,0)"><path d="M137 343C167 482 260 545 321 574C357 591 397 603 429 609L423 641C382 634 335 622 295 608C189 570 37 457 37 238C37 84 125 -12 242 -12C362 -12 447 89 447 209C447 311 374 393 267 393C247 393 226 386 204 376L137 343ZM227 337C318 337 361 256 361 173C361 105 336 22 258 22C176 22 126 120 126 240C126 266 127 291 132 310C155 323 189 337 227 337Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,40.829,0)"><path d="M412 140C382 77 369 73 315 73H129L270 222C362 320 402 379 402 466C402 571 322 635 234 635C177 635 130 609 99 576L42 495L64 475C90 514 133 568 201 568C274 568 318 519 318 435C318 349 255 267 193 193C144 135 87 78 32 23V0H405C417 45 427 89 440 131L412 140Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,47.069,0)"><path d="M226 -163V703H56V676C162 667 165 662 165 584V-43C165 -122 162 -126 56 -136V-163H226Z"></path></g></svg></span></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">60 percentile life</td><td class="align_center">128</td><td 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579L65 516L85 496C110 533 150 575 205 575C258 575 300 543 300 481C300 407 232 369 141 339L147 310C163 315 188 321 211 321C268 321 338 284 338 192C338 94 288 40 217 40C160 40 119 68 93 91C85 98 77 97 69 91C60 84 47 71 46 58C44 46 48 35 62 22C75 10 116 -12 162 -12C234 -12 424 62 424 224C424 297 373 359 285 376V378Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,47.069,0)"><path d="M226 -163V703H56V676C162 667 165 662 165 584V-43C165 -122 162 -126 56 -136V-163H226Z"></path></g></svg></span></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">70 percentile life</td><td class="align_center">114</td><td class="align_center"><span style="width: 51.8379ptpx;"><svg height="11.439pt" id="M66" style="vertical-align:-2.15067pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 51.8379 11.439" width="51.8379pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M290 -163V-135C183 -126 181 -122 181 -44V583C181 662 184 666 290 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class="align_center">80</td><td class="align_center"><span style="width: 39.3111ptpx;"><svg height="11.439pt" id="M68" style="vertical-align:-2.15067pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 39.3111 11.439" width="39.3111pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M290 -163V-135C183 -126 181 -122 181 -44V583C181 662 184 666 290 675V703H120V-163H290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.485,0)"><path d="M447 623H65C61 580 56 530 47 475H76C100 541 106 550 172 550H388C308 376 196 170 91 -1L98 -12L172 -2C268 204 360 408 455 611L447 623Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,10.727,0)"><path d="M412 140C382 77 369 73 315 73H129L270 222C362 320 402 379 402 466C402 571 322 635 234 635C177 635 130 609 99 576L42 495L64 475C90 514 133 568 201 568C274 568 318 519 318 435C318 349 255 267 193 193C144 135 87 78 32 23V0H405C417 45 427 89 440 131L412 140Z"></path></g><g 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<div>Offline life perdition results of satellite lithium-ion batteries (cycles).</div>

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

tab1

Table 1

Table 1: Reliability Evaluation and In-Orbit Residual Life Prediction for Satellite Lithium-Ion Batteries 