Research of Vulnerability for Fresh Agricultural-Food Supply Chain Based on Bayesian Network

Table 6

Posterior probability of supply chain vulnerability.

Time	The 0th year	The 1st year	The 2nd year	The 3rd year	The 4th year
Short-term supply chain	0.018	0.022	0.025	0.032	0.048
Long-term supply chain	0.0025	0.0016	0.0011	0.0008	0.0004