A New and Practical Reliability Allocation Method for a Complex System of NC Turrets

Table 2

Happening probabilities of FMs estimated by experts.

Event	Exp.1	Exp.2	Exp.3	Exp.4	Exp.5	Exp.6	Happening probability
FM1	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	VS	1.13E − 07
FM2	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	S	2.10E − 07
FM3	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	S	3.04E − 07
FM4	S	S	VS	VS	VS	S	9.56E − 07
FM5	S	VS	VS	VS	S	VS	4.69E − 07
FM6	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	1.73E − 07
FM7	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	3.90E − 07
FM8	S	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	6.35E − 07
FM9	S	S	S	S	S	S	4.24E − 06
FM10	S	S	S	RS	RS	S	8.33E − 06
FM11	S	S	VS	VS	S	S	1.58E − 06
FM12	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	S	3.04E − 07
FM13	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	3.90E − 07
FM14	S	VS	VS	VS	S	S	7.30E − 07
FM15	RS	S	RS	S	S	S	1.13E − 05
FM16	RS	RS	S	S	S	S	1.17E − 05
FM17	RS	S	RS	S	S	S	1.13E − 05
FM18	S	VS	VS	VS	S	S	7.30E − 07
FM19	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	3.90E − 07
FM20	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	3.90E − 07
FM21	S	RS	S	S	S	S	6.92E − 06
FM22	S	S	S	S	RS	S	5.94E − 06
FM23	S	RS	S	S	S	RS	8.59E − 06
FM24	RS	RS	S	S	S	S	1.17E − 05
FM25	S	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	6.35E − 07
FM26	S	S	VS	VS	VS	S	9.56E − 07
FM27	S	S	S	VS	VS	VS	1.32E − 06
FM28	VS	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	1.55E − 07
FM29	VS	VS	VS	VS	S	VS	1.13E − 07
FM30	S	S	S	VS	VS	VS	1.32E − 06
FM31	S	S	S	VS	VS	VS	1.32E − 06
FM32	VS	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	1.55E − 07
FM33	VS	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	1.73E − 07
FM34	S	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	6.35E − 07
FM35	RS	RS	S	S	S	S	1.17E − 05
FM36	S	RS	S	S	S	S	6.92E − 06
FM37	S	S	VS	VS	VS	VS	6.35E − 07
FM38	S	S	VS	VS	S	VS	1.11E − 06

Exp. = expert. The weight of each expert is 0.2452, 0.1980, 0.1804, 0.1471, 0.1332, and 0.0962.