Electricity Consumption Prediction for Xinjiang Electric Energy Replacement

Table 2

Comparison of actual social electricity consumption values and single and combined forecasting models in Xinjiang.

Year	electricity consumption (twh)	Relative error %
		Single prediction method			Simple combination forecasting method				IOWHA optimal weighted combination forecasting method
		GM	MLR	BP	GM; MLR	GM; BP	MLR; BP	GM; MLR; BP	GM; MLR	GM; BP	MLR; BP	GM; MLR; BP
2013	1342.3	-10.75	1.03	2.70	-4.86	-4.03	1.86	-2.34	0.13	-0.45	1.07	0.17
2014	1497.5	-7.32	0.24	3.99	-3.54	-1.66	2.12	-1.03	-0.33	1.34	0.35	0.01
2015	1602.3	-4.01	-0.07	5.42	-2.04	0.71	2.68	0.45	-0.37	-1.80	0.09	-0.05
2016	1793.8	2.36	-0.20	2.35	1.08	2.35	1.07	1.50	-0.01	2.35	-0.13	0.33
2017	2000.9	9.65	-1.46	3.23	4.09	6.44	0.88	3.81	-0.62	4.74	-1.33	0.09