Study of the Modified Logistic Model of Chinese Electricity Consumption Based on the Change of the GDP Growth Rate under the Economic New Normal

Table 5

Error comparison of the Chinese power consumption forecasts using different models.

Year	Logistic	α = 0.3	Static difference	Dynamic difference
2000	0	0	0	0
2001	−0.0738	−0.0749	0.0596	0.0596
2002	−0.0312	−0.0266	0.0493	0.1101
2003	−0.0438	−0.0386	−0.0064	0.0995
2004	−0.0463	−0.0458	−0.0087	0.0863
2005	−0.0430	−0.0355	0.0177	0.1019
2006	−0.0523	−0.0449	0.0052	0.1028
2007	−0.0717	−0.0633	−0.0021	0.0949
2008	−0.0204	−0.0468	−0.0311	0.0543
2009	0.0212	0.0193	0.0340	0.0865
2010	−0.0184	−0.0113	−0.0187	0.0601
2011	−0.0417	−0.0475	−0.0420	0.0108
2012	−0.0166	−0.0266	−0.0071	0.0026
2013	−0.0139	−0.0145	0.0004	0.0028
2014	0.0151	0.0121	0.0204	0.0229
2015	0.0716	0.0691	0.0516	0.0731
2016	0.0587	0.0574	−0.0063	0.0581
2017	0.0404	0.0417	−0.0053	0.0456
2018	−0.0017	−0.0023	−0.0357	0.0027
Mean squared error	0.0423	0.0417	0.0282	0.0682