Research Article
Dynamic Spreading Model of Passenger Group Panic considering Official Guidance Information in Subway Emergencies
Table 2
The simulation results and theoretical results at
(
, , and
).
| ā | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 1 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.2522 | 0.0045 | 0.7433 | 225.00 | 1.3158 | 0.9537 | 0.0072 | 0.0370 | 2 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.2545 | 0.0090 | 0.7365 | 112.50 | 1.9481 | 0.9584 | 0.0140 | 0.0238 | 3 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.2577 | 0.0087 | 0.7336 | 75.00 | 1.9231 | 0.9586 | 0.0135 | 0.0140 | 4 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.2610 | 0.0085 | 0.7305 | 56.25 | 1.8987 | 0.9592 | 0.0129 | 0.0039 | 5 | 0.01 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.3200 | 0.2600 | 0.4200 | 11.25 | 1.5789 | 0.8020 | 0.1985 | 0.0280 | 6 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.2544 | 0.0090 | 0.7367 | 112.50 | 1.2987 | 0.9460 | 0.0139 | 0.0341 | 7 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.2556 | 0.0043 | 0.7401 | 75.00 | 1.2821 | 0.9431 | 0.0065 | 0.0265 | 8 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.2568 | 0.0128 | 0.7305 | 75.00 | 1.5385 | 0.9173 | 0.0200 | 0.0599 | 9 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.2602 | 0.0123 | 0.7275 | 56.25 | 1.5190 | 0.9192 | 0.0187 | 0.0491 | 10 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.2638 | 0.0118 | 0.7244 | 45.00 | 1.5000 | 0.9212 | 0.0175 | 0.0381 | 11 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.2580 | 0.0080 | 0.7340 | 75.00 | 1.2821 | 0.9147 | 0.0123 | 0.0625 | 12 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.2614 | 0.0076 | 0.7310 | 56.25 | 1.2658 | 0.9165 | 0.0110 | 0.0518 | 13 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.2649 | 0.0071 | 0.7280 | 45.00 | 1.2500 | 0.9183 | 0.0096 | 0.0410 | 14 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.1 | 0.2707 | 0.0639 | 0.6654 | 20.45 | 1.6611 | 0.7172 | 0.1094 | 0.2990 | 15 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.2745 | 0.0619 | 0.6636 | 18.75 | 1.6420 | 0.7224 | 0.1042 | 0.2860 | 16 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.1 | 0.2821 | 0.0581 | 0.6598 | 16.07 | 1.6051 | 0.7325 | 0.0941 | 0.2600 | 17 | 0.11 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3047 | 0.0478 | 0.6475 | 11.25 | 1.5038 | 0.7591 | 0.0649 | 0.1842 | 18 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.1 | 0.2730 | 0.0547 | 0.6723 | 20.45 | 1.5167 | 0.7162 | 0.0940 | 0.3049 | 19 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.2768 | 0.0527 | 0.6705 | 18.75 | 1.4993 | 0.7214 | 0.0885 | 0.2917 | 20 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.1 | 0.2882 | 0.0471 | 0.6647 | 15.00 | 1.4493 | 0.7359 | 0.0726 | 0.2531 | 21 | 0.13 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3070 | 0.0388 | 0.6542 | 11.25 | 1.3730 | 0.7574 | 0.0472 | 0.1901 | 22 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.2964 | 0.0937 | 0.6100 | 10.71 | 1.5244 | 0.6011 | 0.1866 | 0.5459 | 23 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.2 | 0.3128 | 0.0821 | 0.6051 | 9.00 | 1.4634 | 0.6247 | 0.1495 | 0.4874 | 24 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.2 | 0.3208 | 0.0768 | 0.6024 | 8.33 | 1.4347 | 0.6355 | 0.1314 | 0.4589 | 25 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.2988 | 0.0850 | 0.6162 | 10.71 | 1.4535 | 0.6020 | 0.1695 | 0.5517 | 26 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.2 | 0.3069 | 0.0791 | 0.6140 | 9.78 | 1.4238 | 0.6136 | 0.1504 | 0.5227 | 27 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.2 | 0.3150 | 0.0736 | 0.6115 | 9.00 | 1.3953 | 0.6248 | 0.1315 | 0.4939 | 28 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.3009 | 0.0764 | 0.6228 | 10.71 | 1.3889 | 0.6022 | 0.1527 | 0.5586 | 29 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.2 | 0.3090 | 0.0705 | 0.6205 | 9.78 | 1.3605 | 0.6138 | 0.1328 | 0.5293 | 30 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.3031 | 0.0677 | 0.6292 | 10.71 | 1.3298 | 0.6027 | 0.1353 | 0.5649 |
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