Research Article

Modelling the Periodic Outbreak of Measles in Mainland China

Table 1

Interpretation and values of the parameters used in the simulation.

ParametersDescriptionDefault valueSources

μNatural death rate (month−1)1.142 × 10−3Calculated
σRate of progression to infected stage from the exposed (month−1)2.17[11]
γRecovery rate for the infected stage (month−1)3[11]
ΛRecruitment rate (month−1)1589357[9]
ωRate of waning immunity (month−1)0.0033[19]
Recovery rate for the asymptomatic infected stage (month−1)6LS
ηCorrection factor0.01LS
ξCorrection factor0.001LS
θProportion of progression to symptomatic infected stage0.004LS
pCoverage rate of vaccine for entire population (month−1)0.00014LS
β(t)Periodic transmission rate of symptomatic infection (month−1)Assumed
aBaseline transmission rate (month−1)1.9616 × 10−9LS