Research Article
An Improved Nonhomogeneous Discrete Grey Model and Its Application
Table 5
The results of five grey models in natural gas demand of China (billion cubic meters).
| Year | Raw data | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2003 | 35.0 | | | | | | 2004 | 41.5 | 46.18 | 46.29 | 45.74 | 35.15 | 40.69 | 2005 | 49.3 | 52.07 | 52.19 | 51.73 | 45.04 | 50.32 | 2016 | 58.6 | 58.70 | 58.83 | 58.40 | 54.65 | 59.78 | 2007 | 69.2 | 66.19 | 66.32 | 65.87 | 63.98 | 68.95 | 2008 | 80.3 | 74.61 | 74.77 | 74.24 | 73.03 | 77.85 | 2009 | 85.2 | 84.12 | 84.30 | 83.66 | 81.83 | 86.50 | 2010 | 94.8 | 94.84 | 95.02 | 94.24 | 90.36 | 94.92 | 2011 | 103.1 | 106.92 | 107.13 | 106.16 | 98.65 | 103.13 | RMSE | 3.29 | 3.30 | 3.23 | 5.06 | 1.17 | MAPE (%) | 4.19 | 4.26 | 4.15 | 7.53 | 1.39 | 2012 | 107.2 | 120.55 | 120.77 | 119.55 | 106.70 | 111.14 | 2013 | 119.3 | 135.91 | 136.15 | 134.62 | 114.52 | 118.98 | RMSE | 15.07 | 15.30 | 13.91 | 3.40 | 2.80 | MAPE (%) | 13.19 | 13.39 | 12.18 | 2.24 | 1.97 |
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