Prediction of Drought Severity Using Model-Based Clustering

Table 2

BIC of selected probability distributions at SPI-1 in selected stations.

	Astore	Bunji	Gupis	Chilas	Gilgit	Skardu
Distribution	SPI	SPI	SPI	SPI	SPI	SPI
3P Weibull	−1036.513	−1030.985	−735.144	−800.233	−1097.487	−735.125
4P-Beta	−1031.384	−1020.690	−788.076	−805.614	−1085.123	−700.236

BIC values given in bold font represent the most likely candidate distributions used for the standardization of the SPI-1 in the selected stations under the current climatological characteristics.