Poisson Incorporated Credibility Regression Modelling of Systematic Mortality Risk for Populations with Finite Data

Table 10

MAPFE values of forecast errors during the period 2010–2020 for ages 20–60.

Fitting period	MAPFE for ages 20–60	Bühlmann methods	Regression	Methods	RC	Regression	Methods	FC
	Gender	EW	MW	SEM	MEM	EEM	SEM	MEM	EEM
2010–2020	Male	0.2818	0.2801	0.1697	0.1544	0.1655	0.1733	0.1633	0.1752
	Female	0.1116	0.1117	0.0979	0.1058	0.1012	0.0949	0.0936	0.0948
	Male	0.2604	0.2753	0.1595	0.1585	0.1567	0.1637	0.1630	0.1648
2010–2020	Female	0.1102	0.1103	0.0938	0.1022	0.1091	0.0889	0.0966	0.0896
	Male	0.2826	0.2710	0.1679	0.1670	0.1643	0.1721	0.1706	0.1708
2010–2020	Female	0.1145	0.1120	0.1003	0.1007	0.1055	0.0958	0.0982	0.0962
	Mean	0.2879 (8)	0.3192 (7)	0.1313 (2)	0.1315 (4)	0.1337 (6)	0.1314 (3)	0.1309 (1)	0.1318 (5)