Poisson Incorporated Credibility Regression Modelling of Systematic Mortality Risk for Populations with Finite Data

Table 11

MAFE values of forecast errors during the period 2010–2020 for ages 20–80.

Fitting period	MAFE for ages 20–80	Bühlmann methods	Regression	Methods	RC	Regression	Methods	FC
	Gender	EW	MW	SEM	MEM	EEM	SEM	MEM	EEM
2010–2020	Male	0.4319	0.4204	0.3926	0.3614	0.3852	0.3914	0.3643	0.3906
	Female	0.2023	0.1948	0.2060	0.1960	0.2082	0.2053	0.1914	0.2051
	Male	0.3880	0.4116	0.3472	0.3550	0.3463	0.3535	0.3589	0.3524
2010–2020	Female	0.1777	0.1847	0.1841	0.1922	0.1940	0.1794	0.1888	0.1813
	Male	0.4494	0.4369	0.3550	0.3521	0.3524	0.3599	0.3545	0.3568
2010–2020	Female	0.2004	0.1975	0.1940	0.1939	0.1936	0.1921	0.1950	0.1938
	Mean	0.3083 (8)	0.3077 (7)	0.2798 (3)	0.2752 (1)	0.2800 (4)	0.2803 (6)	0.2755 (1)	0.2801 (5)