Poisson Incorporated Credibility Regression Modelling of Systematic Mortality Risk for Populations with Finite Data

Table 13

MAPFE values of forecast errors during the period 2010–2020 for ages 60–100.

Fitting period	MAPFE for ages 60–100	Bühlmann methods	Regression	Methods	RC	Regression	Methods	FC
	Gender	EW	MW	SEM	MEM	EEM	SEM	MEM	EEM
2010–2020	Male	11.44	11.21	11.38	11.00	11.45	11.15	10.76	11.17
	Female	11.92	11.66	11.98	11.77	12.43	11.58	11.32	11.63
	Male	10.58	11.04	10.54	10.76	10.79	10.33	10.62	10.39
2010–2020	Female	11.08	11.34	10.97	11.30	11.54	10.61	11.11	10.78
	Male	11.78	11.53	10.62	10.49	10.80	10.34	10.49	10.54
2010–2020	Female	11.86	11.77	11.39	11.20	11.35	11.18	11.42	11.38
	Mean	11.45 (8)	11.42 (7)	11.15 (5)	11.09 (4)	11.40 (6)	10.87 (1)	10.92 (2)	10.98 (3)