Poisson Incorporated Credibility Regression Modelling of Systematic Mortality Risk for Populations with Finite Data

Table 5

RMSFE values of forecast errors for the duration 2000–2010 for ages 20–80 for the CBD model.

Fitting period	MAFE values
	MAFE	Ages 20–80	Lee–Carter	Random	Coefficients	Fixed	Coefficients
	Gender	LC	LC-Poisson	SEM	MEM	EEM	SEM	MEM	EEM
2010–2020	Male	0.5565	0.7558	0.4865	0.5455	0.4418	0.4508	0.4426	0.4235
	Female	0.3365	0.4545	0.3285	0.4302	0.2325	0.2535	0.2436	0.2250
2015–2010	Male	0.5865	0.7258	0.4546	0.5250	0.4418	0.4208	0.4465	0.4494
	Female	0.2808	0.3239	0.2693	0.2328	0.2274	0.2276	0.2164	0.2160
2018–2010	Male	0.5605	0.7355	0.4438	0.5550	0.4181	0.4067	0.4392	0.4339
	Female	0.3182	0.4465	0.2642	0.3012	0.2266	0.2353	0.2316	0.2345
Mean		0.4279 (7)	0.5022 (8)	0.3548 (4)	0.4086 (6)	0.3392 (2)	0.3359 (1)	0.3485 (5)	0.3469 (3)