Research Article
A Combined Prediction Model Composed of the GM (1,1) Model and the BP Neural Network for Major Road Traffic Accidents in China
Table 1
Spatial distribution of major traffic accidents from 2008 to 2020 in China.
| | Province | Number | GDP/1012 yuan | Population/107 | Per capita GDP/104 yuan | | Accidents | Fatalities | Injuries |
| | Shanghai | 1 | 12 | 12 | 3.82 | 2.42 | 15.78 | | Inner Mongolia | 2 | 35 | 10 | 1.72 | 2.53 | 6.81 | | Qinghai | 2 | 21 | 82 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 4.96 | | Liaoning | 3 | 57 | 37 | 2.49 | 4.37 | 5.70 | | Shaanxi | 3 | 43 | 39 | 2.58 | 3.84 | 6.72 | | Tianjin | 3 | 46 | 26 | 1.41 | 1.56 | 9.06 | | Zhejiang | 3 | 33 | 47 | 6.24 | 5.66 | 11.02 | | Chongqing | 3 | 41 | 42 | 2.36 | 3.05 | 7.74 | | Guangxi | 4 | 55 | 94 | 2.12 | 4.89 | 4.35 | | Ningxia | 4 | 51 | 67 | 0.37 | 0.68 | 5.50 | | Fujian | 5 | 91 | 94 | 4.24 | 3.91 | 10.84 | | Heilongjiang | 5 | 65 | 109 | 1.36 | 3.79 | 3.59 | | Jilin | 5 | 79 | 84 | 1.17 | 2.72 | 4.32 | | Hubei | 6 | 76 | 67 | 4.58 | 5.90 | 7.77 | | Jiangsu | 6 | 70 | 126 | 9.96 | 8.03 | 12.41 | | Anhui | 7 | 85 | 132 | 3.71 | 6.25 | 5.93 | | Gansu | 7 | 116 | 154 | 8.72 | 2.63 | 3.32 | | Tibet | 7 | 124 | 86 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 5.04 | | Guangdong | 8 | 116 | 142 | 10.77 | 11.17 | 9.64 | | Shandong | 8 | 125 | 80 | 7.11 | 10.01 | 7.10 | | Xinjiang | 8 | 112 | 199 | 1.36 | 2.44 | 0.56 | | Shanxi | 9 | 138 | 146 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.60 | | Sichuan | 9 | 133 | 43 | 5.67 | 8.30 | 6.82 | | Jiangxi | 10 | 137 | 116 | 2.48 | 4.62 | 5.36 | | Henan | 12 | 236 | 199 | 5.43 | 9.56 | 5.68 | | Guizhou | 13 | 217 | 197 | 1.68 | 3.58 | 4.68 | | Hebei | 14 | 240 | 36 | 3.51 | 7.52 | 4.67 | | Hunan | 14 | 234 | 220 | 3.98 | 6.86 | 5.79 | | Yunnan | 17 | 239 | 139 | 2.32 | 4.80 | 4.84 |
|
|