Research Article
Financial Distress Prediction of Chinese Listed Companies Using the Combination of Optimization Model and Convolutional Neural Network
Table 9
Prediction results of different models.
| Years | Criterion | NN | CART | SVM | LR | Ours |
| 2012–2016 | Accuracy | 92.66% | 80.39% | 92.37% | 88.59% | 94.5% | KS | 0.8164 | 0.5987 | 0.8087 | 0.738 | 0.9857 | AUC | 0.8577 | 0.6126 | 0.8517 | 0.7786 | 0.9974 |
| 2012–2015 | Accuracy | 72.98% | 54.38% | 86.90% | 85.10% | 88.52% | KS | 0.3771 | 0.5084 | 0.6415 | 0.6025 | 0.7774 | AUC | 0.513 | 0.2908 | 0.7539 | 0.7234 | 0.9548 |
| 2016 | Accuracy | 83.05% | 82.15% | 91.09% | 88.92% | N/A | KS | 0.5769 | 0.6266 | 0.7689 | 0.7224 | N/A | AUC | 0.6856 | 0.6521 | 0.8286 | 0.7881 | N/A |
| 2015 | Accuracy | 85.52% | 77.92% | 84.09% | 86.38% | N/A | KS | 0.5906 | 0.5401 | 0.6016 | 0.6526 | N/A | AUC | 0.731 | 0.569 | 0.7025 | 0.743 | N/A |
| 2014 | Accuracy | 68.82% | 70.17% | 76.12% | 73.54% | N/A | KS | 0.3451 | 0.387 | 0.2983 | 0.2884 | N/A | AUC | 0.4658 | 0.4352 | 0.5793 | 0.5383 | N/A |
| 2013 | Accuracy | 76.38% | 76.12% | 79.42% | 71.48% | N/A | KS | 0.3827 | 0.4603 | 0.3898 | 0.2662 | N/A | AUC | 0.5789 | 0.5605 | 0.6306 | 0.508 | N/A |
| 2012 | Accuracy | 72.46% | 71.67% | 72.19% | 64.71% | N/A | KS | 0.3346 | 0.3881 | 0.3025 | 0.3435 | N/A | AUC | 0.5196 | 0.4799 | 0.5201 | 0.4175 | N/A |
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