Research Article

Research on Supply Chain Risk Transmission Mechanism Based on Improved SIRS Model

Table 1

Variables and parameter definitions used in the model.

SymbolsDefinitionsImplications for supply chain networks

s(t)Percentage of individuals in a susceptible state at time t to the total number of individualsPercentage of the number of enterprises with the possibility of infection risk at time t to the total number of enterprises
i(t)Percentage of individuals in an infected state at time t to the total number of individualsPercentage of the number of enterprises exposed to risk at time t to the total number of enterprises
r(t)Percentage of individuals in an immune state at time t to the total number of individualsPercentage of the number of enterprises with immunity to risk at time t to the total number of enterprises
d(t)Percentage of individuals in an eliminated state at time t to the total number of individualsPercentage of the number of enterprises eliminated for failure to withstand risk at time t to the total number of enterprises
ΒProbability of infectionProbability of infection risk
γProbability of immunityProbability of immunity to risk
ΔProbability of losing immunityProbability of losing immunity to risk
μProbability of being eliminatedProbability of being eliminated
<k>Network average degree