Research Article
Long-Term Optimal Operation of the Cascade Hydro-Wind-Photovoltaic Hybrid System considering Transmission Section Constraints
Table 6
Monthly statistical table of BP neural network fitting evaluation indicators.
| Month | Nodes of hidden layer | Stations | Training period | Validation period | MAE | RMSE | MAPE (%) | R2 | MAE | RMSE | MAPE (%) | R2 |
| 1 | 4 | HJD | 7343.27 | 9888.30 | 2.72 | 0.9510 | 9868.81 | 11235.80 | 3.85 | 0.9523 | DF | 1515.23 | 2256.40 | 1.87 | 0.9013 | 3454.02 | 5556.58 | 4.71 | 0.6008 | WJD | 1512.01 | 3670.23 | 0.79 | 0.9731 | 3473.33 | 6973.19 | 1.78 | 0.9181 | GPT | 749.96 | 933.57 | 0.13 | 0.9689 | 5212.69 | 11925.32 | 1.10 | 0.9984 |
| 2 | 7 | HJD | 7370.13 | 15531.24 | 3.39 | 0.8668 | 7532.01 | 11520.45 | 3.41 | 0.9294 | DF | 2420.64 | 5082.89 | 4.04 | 0.6736 | 2178.51 | 3233.08 | 3.52 | 0.9051 | WJD | 3905.10 | 9683.58 | 2.40 | 0.9107 | 2363.47 | 3788.38 | 1.34 | 0.9921 | GPT | 3458.80 | 9548.80 | 0.71 | 0.9706 | 3323.92 | 8348.10 | 0.77 | 0.9993 |
| 3 | 4 | HJD | 10295.66 | 13136.19 | 5.35 | 0.9398 | 11708.99 | 15613.18 | 6.92 | 0.9373 | DF | 6443.37 | 7722.20 | 14.62 | 0.2546 | 4405.56 | 5154.32 | 9.64 | 0.7156 | WJD | 7855.90 | 10663.55 | 6.25 | 0.8767 | 10996.12 | 16925.60 | 8.98 | 0.7593 | GPT | 6406.81 | 12013.30 | 1.38 | 0.9789 | 5705.77 | 10753.46 | 1.28 | 0.9949 |
| 4 | 5 | HJD | 7837.02 | 11885.78 | 4.41 | 0.9663 | 3994.49 | 4680.22 | 2.64 | 0.9957 | DF | 5530.64 | 6187.73 | 12.59 | 0.2802 | 5378.84 | 6257.10 | 11.40 | 0.4017 | WJD | 4029.19 | 7090.62 | 4.64 | 0.5780 | 5019.96 | 6953.58 | 5.65 | 0.7086 | GPT | 7306.24 | 12394.94 | 1.71 | 0.9911 | 13561.15 | 18757.57 | 3.07 | 0.9923 |
| 5 | 6 | HJD | 5530.54 | 7709.83 | 2.70 | 0.9895 | 3563.33 | 4071.04 | 1.90 | 0.9975 | DF | 174.69 | 174.69 | 0.47 | 1.0000 | 174.69 | 174.69 | 0.47 | 1.0000 | WJD | 8775.56 | 11221.15 | 7.55 | 0.8417 | 6046.07 | 8501.42 | 4.91 | 0.9526 | GPT | 14967.01 | 17235.99 | 3.37 | 0.9898 | 17584.46 | 20323.67 | 3.96 | 0.9910 |
| 6 | 5 | HJD | 7361.72 | 10703.27 | 2.55 | 0.9820 | 5252.36 | 6485.38 | 2.20 | 0.9944 | DF | 174.69 | 174.69 | 0.47 | 1.0000 | 174.69 | 174.69 | 0.47 | 1.0000 | WJD | 6163.95 | 7669.59 | 3.75 | 0.9521 | 6767.95 | 11523.30 | 4.92 | 0.9430 | GPT | 13384.71 | 14931.75 | 2.75 | 0.9911 | 13158.70 | 15270.14 | 2.77 | 0.9926 |
| 7 | 7 | HJD | 14619.71 | 20091.75 | 3.91 | 0.8932 | 7091.16 | 8910.28 | 1.89 | 0.9852 | DF | 2480.82 | 4023.15 | 5.62 | 0.4681 | 2650.61 | 3888.85 | 5.85 | 0.5385 | WJD | 8314.31 | 11135.58 | 4.86 | 0.8997 | 10472.84 | 16800.58 | 6.79 | 0.7846 | GPT | 7924.86 | 9840.08 | 1.51 | 0.9785 | 11253.50 | 13710.32 | 2.23 | 0.9746 |
| 8 | 6 | HJD | 9449.84 | 23694.15 | 2.50 | 0.7855 | 11732.31 | 16886.20 | 2.91 | 0.8895 | DF | 659.29 | 1365.47 | 1.14 | 0.8173 | 690.11 | 1052.77 | 1.14 | 0.8252 | WJD | 2122.09 | 6590.93 | 1.00 | 0.9143 | 942.59 | 1257.95 | 0.45 | 0.9988 | GPT | 4864.71 | 19465.84 | 0.89 | 0.4081 | 4044.87 | 9183.53 | 0.82 | 0.9910 |
| 9 | 5 | HJD | 10277.33 | 17022.47 | 2.49 | 0.7438 | 11723.93 | 17257.97 | 2.87 | 0.8952 | DF | 372.46 | 688.15 | 0.43 | 0.8363 | 1025.28 | 3005.91 | 1.35 | 0.6048 | WJD | 1377.96 | 2653.36 | 0.70 | 0.9777 | 4122.58 | 9908.35 | 2.25 | 0.8348 | GPT | 4276.37 | 8546.43 | 0.84 | 0.9689 | 3947.19 | 5540.34 | 0.85 | 0.9972 |
| 10 | 5 | HJD | 9943.69 | 13059.44 | 2.37 | 0.8760 | 12313.83 | 16970.51 | 2.94 | 0.8420 | DF | 400.21 | 648.39 | 0.46 | 0.8551 | 335.42 | 539.87 | 0.41 | 0.9918 | WJD | 712.96 | 726.79 | 0.33 | 0.7019 | 522.53 | 568.40 | 0.24 | 0.9989 | GPT | 2727.41 | 4781.08 | 0.51 | 0.9990 | 4963.96 | 9519.68 | 1.07 | 0.9825 |
| 11 | 6 | HJD | 7441.04 | 9388.50 | 1.89 | 0.9376 | 8864.01 | 11196.54 | 2.32 | 0.9479 | DF | 474.96 | 638.54 | 0.55 | 0.8238 | 663.89 | 967.46 | 0.78 | 0.7012 | WJD | 1103.17 | 1289.68 | 0.52 | 0.7322 | 784.48 | 952.37 | 0.37 | 0.8084 | GPT | 2068.42 | 4341.12 | 0.39 | 0.9970 | 4526.20 | 9092.79 | 0.98 | 0.9990 |
| 12 | 5 | HJD | 9997.12 | 13726.75 | 3.09 | 0.9201 | 14946.64 | 22144.63 | 4.25 | 0.8490 | DF | 540.30 | 979.13 | 0.64 | 0.3539 | 1015.14 | 1577.72 | 1.22 | 0.7352 | WJD | 1269.88 | 2322.73 | 0.60 | 0.3945 | 2196.76 | 3836.74 | 1.08 | 0.9598 | GPT | 2109.08 | 2930.55 | 0.38 | 0.2533 | 7955.16 | 15062.24 | 1.55 | 0.6986 |
|
|