Risk and Reliability Assessment of Metal Lathe Machining Operation with DBN-FFTA Hybrid Approach

Table 5

Prior and posterior probability in FT and BN models.

Basic event	Prior probability (FT)	Prior probability (BN)	Posterior probability (BN)	Basic event	Prior probability (FT)	Prior probability (BN)	Posterior probability (BN)
1	0.00090782	0.00090782	0.028814332	30	0.00094842	0.00094842	0.030102981
2	0.00039446	0.00039446	0.012520215	31	0.00211349	0.00211349	0.067082464
3	0.0002958	0.0002958	0.0093887327	32	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.010954791
4	0.00078343	0.00078343	0.024866176	33	0.00039446	0.00039446	0.00039446002
5	0.0012942	0.0012942	0.041078086	34	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.00046774002
6	0.00110154	0.00110154	0.0011015401	35	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.00046774002
7	0.00110154	0.00110154	0.0011015401	36	0.00018239	0.00018239	0.00018239001
8	0.00037757	0.00037757	0.011984124	37	0.00025942	0.00025942	0.00025942002
9	0.00169434	0.00169434	0.053778585	38	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.00097949009
10	0.00169434	0.00169434	0.053778585	39	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.010954791
11	0.00114815	0.00114815	0.036442439	40	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.010954791
12	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.014846132	41	0.00128233	0.00128233	0.0012959176
13	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.014846132	42	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.00035874038
14	0.00072946	0.00072946	0.023153161	43	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.031089148
15	0.0002037	0.0002037	0.0064654661	44	0.00025942	0.00025942	0.0082340265
16	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.031089148	45	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.00097949012
17	0.00025942	0.00025942	0.0082340265	46	0.00021478	0.00021478	0.00021478003
18	0.00128233	0.00128233	0.040701331	47	0.00080168	0.00080168	0.0008016801
19	0.00072946	0.00072946	0.023153161	48	0.00148594	0.00148594	0.0014859401
20	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.0031740138	49	0.00148594	0.00148594	0.0014859401
21	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.031089148	50	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.00034514012
22	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.031089148	51	0.00034514	0.00034514	0.00034514012
23	0.00053456	0.00053456	0.016967008	52	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.00097949012
24	0.0012942	0.0012942	0.041078086	53	0.00097949	0.00097949	0.00097949012
25	0.00099083	0.00099083	0.031449081	54	0.00018239	0.00018239	0.0057890837
26	0.00063096	0.00063096	0.020026757	55	0.00018239	0.00018239	0.0057890837
27	0.0002958	0.0002958	0.0093887327	56	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.00046774002
28	0.00169434	0.00169434	0.053778585	57	0.00046774	0.00046774	0.00046774002
29	0.00169434	0.00169434	0.053778585	TE			1