Research Article

[Retracted] High-Order Moment Contagion of the Carbon Market: A Heterogeneity Analysis of Market Volatility Trend

Table 2

Performance comparison of different state transition models of the carbon market.

Alternative modelResidual distributionNumber of parametersLikelihood valueAICBIC

MS(2)-AR(3)T166477.4992−12922.9984−12899.9263
N146379.8549−12731.7098−12711.5217

MS(2)-AR(4)T186375.5774−12715.1548−12689.1986
N166380.1796−12728.3592−12705.2871

MS(3)-AR(3)T276487.9839−12921.9678−12883.0336
N246517.1826−12986.3652−12951.7569

MS(3)-AR(4)T306488.3855−12916.771−12873.5107
N276517.7822−12981.5644−12942.6302

MS(4)-AR(3)T406518.2154−12956.4308−12898.7504
N366465.1356−12858.2712−12806.3589

MS(4)-AR(4)T446510.2059−12932.4118−12868.9634
N406526.3629−12972.7258−12915.0454