Research Article
[Retracted] High-Order Moment Contagion of the Carbon Market: A Heterogeneity Analysis of Market Volatility Trend
Table 2
Performance comparison of different state transition models of the carbon market.
| Alternative model | Residual distribution | Number of parameters | Likelihood value | AIC | BIC |
| MS(2)-AR(3) | T | 16 | 6477.4992 | −12922.9984 | −12899.9263 | N | 14 | 6379.8549 | −12731.7098 | −12711.5217 |
| MS(2)-AR(4) | T | 18 | 6375.5774 | −12715.1548 | −12689.1986 | N | 16 | 6380.1796 | −12728.3592 | −12705.2871 |
| MS(3)-AR(3) | T | 27 | 6487.9839 | −12921.9678 | −12883.0336 | N | 24 | 6517.1826 | −12986.3652 | −12951.7569 |
| MS(3)-AR(4) | T | 30 | 6488.3855 | −12916.771 | −12873.5107 | N | 27 | 6517.7822 | −12981.5644 | −12942.6302 |
| MS(4)-AR(3) | T | 40 | 6518.2154 | −12956.4308 | −12898.7504 | N | 36 | 6465.1356 | −12858.2712 | −12806.3589 |
| MS(4)-AR(4) | T | 44 | 6510.2059 | −12932.4118 | −12868.9634 | N | 40 | 6526.3629 | −12972.7258 | −12915.0454 |
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