Research Article

An Improved Stacking Model for Equipment Spare Parts Demand Forecasting Based on Scenario Analysis

Table 2

Analysis of equipment operation and support scenarios based on the 5W1H method.

5W1H ScenariosWhoWhenWhereWhyWhatHow

Spare Part AttributesVarietyFailure Time - Year
Number of Single Machine Installations
ImportanceFailure Time - Month
Loss Sensitivity
Price

Operation ScenarioSuper PilotAverage TemperatureMaximum flight AltitudeTough/Special TasksSubject 1 flight hoursFlight days
First-Grade PilotAverage flight AltitudeSubject 2 flight hoursFlight hours
Second-Grade PilotAverage HumidityPlain flight hoursGeneral/Daily TasksSubject 3 flight hoursTakeoff and Landing Times
Third-Grade PilotBad flight DaysPlateau flight hoursSubject 4 flight hoursSorties Rate

Support ScenarioMaintenance Personnel Occupancy RateMean Time to RepairOutfield Repair RateRepair RateOn-Site Rate of Maintenance Equipment
Lead Time