A Cost–Benefit Analysis of Preparing National Veterinary Services for Transboundary Animal Disease Emergencies

Figure 3

Breakeven frontiers for five countries (1–5) in the East African region based on the probability of a disease outbreak P (outbreak) and the probability of averting a major outbreak P (averted), comparing a full veterinary service investment (left column) and targeted emergency preparation investment (right column). Median values (solid line) and 95% spread of distribution (dashed lines) are presented. Proximity of the curve to the origin indicates a higher likelihood of breaking even on investment relative to the probability of disease outbreaks and averting a major disease event.