Estimating the Importation Risk of Mpox Virus in 2022 to Hong Kong, China

Table 1

Model parameters and data sources.

Symbol	Description	Values	Sources
	Number of landed flights of type from region to HK at time	Daily inbound flights	[35]
	Passenger capacity of aircraft	Capacity of each aircraft	[38]
	Number of HK daily inbound passengers during study period	Monthly inbound passengers	[39]
	Ascertainment rate of air traffic of region	Scaling factor	Estimated
	Volume of estimated air passengers from region to HK at time	Daily air passengers	Estimated
	Population size of region	2021 Population estimates	[41]
	The number of new reported cases per person in the general population per unit time	Incidence	Estimated
	The prevalence of presymptomatic mpox cases	Prevalence (rate)	Estimated
	The time period between infection and symptoms onset	Incubation period 7 days (range: 3, 20)	[13]
	Importation force from the region/country at time	Estimated volume of imported cases	Estimated
	The cumulative probability of imported at least one infection from the region o during study period	Estimated importation risk	Estimated