Landscape-Scale Epidemiological Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in White-Tailed Deer

<div>(a) Estimates for local effective reproduction ratio <svg height="11.8161pt" id="M118" style="vertical-align:-3.291121pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.52498 12.9666 11.8161" width="12.9666pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M631 18C609 24 585 35 559 65C534 91 514 117 478 169C448 214 406 281 389 313C462 346 516 399 516 485C516 545 490 590 449 616C412 641 363 650 290 650H42V622C120 615 128 612 128 527V125C128 40 120 34 38 28V0H300V28C221 34 212 40 212 125V284H244C295 284 312 272 329 244C359 195 395 133 430 84C475 19 516 -3 592 -7C603 -8 615 -8 627 -8L631 18ZM212 316V563C212 591 215 602 223 607C231 613 248 617 277 617C352 617 423 577 423 469C423 415 407 375 368 345C343 324 310 316 260 316H212Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.103,3.132)"><path d="M443 572C443 635 407 665 362 665C328 665 293 654 255 623C199 577 159 509 120 338L105 272C80 250 53 230 24 211L32 182C54 195 77 210 98 226L86 167C72 99 77 49 95 24C112 1 141 -12 174 -12C246 -12 320 36 371 105L354 129C324 97 265 54 218 54C175 54 148 87 170 191L188 277C294 349 443 451 443 572ZM380 569C380 486 267 383 198 330L218 413C256 564 284 626 332 626C362 626 380 601 380 569Z"></path></g></svg> and (b) uncertainty (posterior probability that <span class="nowrap"><svg height="11.8161pt" id="M119" style="vertical-align:-3.291121pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.52498 34.1534 11.8161" width="34.1534pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M631 18C609 24 585 35 559 65C534 91 514 117 478 169C448 214 406 281 389 313C462 346 516 399 516 485C516 545 490 590 449 616C412 641 363 650 290 650H42V622C120 615 128 612 128 527V125C128 40 120 34 38 28V0H300V28C221 34 212 40 212 125V284H244C295 284 312 272 329 244C359 195 395 133 430 84C475 19 516 -3 592 -7C603 -8 615 -8 627 -8L631 18ZM212 316V563C212 591 215 602 223 607C231 613 248 617 277 617C352 617 423 577 423 469C423 415 407 375 368 345C343 324 310 316 260 316H212Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.103,3.132)"><path d="M443 572C443 635 407 665 362 665C328 665 293 654 255 623C199 577 159 509 120 338L105 272C80 250 53 230 24 211L32 182C54 195 77 210 98 226L86 167C72 99 77 49 95 24C112 1 141 -12 174 -12C246 -12 320 36 371 105L354 129C324 97 265 54 218 54C175 54 148 87 170 191L188 277C294 349 443 451 443 572ZM380 569C380 486 267 383 198 330L218 413C256 564 284 626 332 626C362 626 380 601 380 569Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,16.499,0)"><path d="M512 -3V55L134 254V256L512 456V514L75 281V230L512 -3Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,27.762,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z"></path></g></svg>).</span> States that did not participate in the study are grayed out. Counties estimated through the GAP WTD species distribution model to not support WTD populations are also grayed out.</div>

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases

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Figure 2

Figure 2: Landscape-Scale Epidemiological Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in White-Tailed Deer 