Research Article
The Effect of Partial and Temporary Vaccination on African Swine Fever Eradication Rates
Figure 5
ASF persistence probability (yellow line) during a 3-year vaccination campaign, under two realistic scenarios providing a high probability to eradicate ASF within 3 years. (a) A 50% effective vaccine with a 365-day protection, distributed in three 30-day sessions each year with an effort of 1.5 vaccinations/km2, combining vaccination with a 50% removal of infected carcasses in late winter and a 30% annual hinting rate and (b) a 75% effective vaccine with a 90-day protection, distributed in a single 60-day session each year in winter with an effort of 1.5 vaccinations/km2, combining vaccination with a 50% removal of infected carcasses in late winter and a 30% annual hinting rate. The black line indicates the proportion of individuals with ASF antibodies, whereas the dashed red lines indicate the annual average of the same parameter. (a) Vaccines/km2/year = 1.5, efficacy = 50%, and duration = 365 days. (b) Vaccines/km2/year = 1.5, efficacy = 75%, and duration = 90 days.
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