Nigeria and Italy Divergences in Coronavirus Experience: Impact of Population Density

Table 1

Incidences and fatalities from COVID-19 in Italy and Nigeria as at April 26, 2020.

	Italy					Nigeria
	Date from 1^st incidence	Cumulative cases	Cumulative deaths	Incidence % change	Fatality % change	Date from 1^st incidence	Cumulative cases	Cumulative deaths	Incidence % change	Fatality % change
1/31/2020	1st	2	0	—	—
2/21/2020	31st	20	1	—	—
2/22/2020	32nd	79	2	295.0	100.0
2/23/2020	33rd	150	3	89.9	50.0
2/24/2020	34th	229	6	52.7	100.0
2/25/2020	35th	322	10	40.6	66.7
2/26/2020	36th	445	12	38.2	20.0
2/27/2020	37th	650	17	46.1	41.7	1st	1	—	—	—
2/28/2020	38th	888	21	36.6	23.5	2nd	—	—	—	—
2/29/2020	39th	1,128	29	27.0	38.1	3rd	—	—	—	—
3/1/2020	40th	1,694	34	50.2	17.2	4th	—	—	—	—
3/2/2020	41st	2,036	52	20.2	52.9	5th	—	—	—	—
3/3/2020	42nd	2,502	79	22.9	51.9	6th	—	—	—	—
3/4/2020	43rd	3,089	107	23.5	35.4	7th	—	—	—	—
3/5/2020	44th	3,858	148	24.9	38.3	8th	—	—	—	—
3/6/2020	45th	4,636	197	20.2	33.1	9th	—	—	—	—
3/7/2020	46th	5,883	233	26.9	18.3	10th	—	—	—	—
3/8/2020	47th	7,375	366	25.4	57.1	11th	—	—	—	—
3/9/2020	48th	9,172	463	24.4	26.5	12th	2	1	100	0
3/10/2020	49th	10,149	631	10.7	36.3	13th	—	—	—	—
3/11/2020	50th	12,462	827	22.8	31.1	14th	—	—	—	—
3/12/2020	51st	15,113	1,016	21.3	22.9	15th	—	—	—	—
3/13/2020	52nd	17,660	1,266	16.9	24.6	16th	1	1	−50	0
3/14/2020	53rd	21,157	1,441	19.8	13.8	17th	—	—	—	—
3/15/2020	54th	24,747	1,809	17.0	25.5	18th	—	—	—	—
3/16/2020	55th	27,980	2,158	13.1	19.3	19th	—	—	—	—
3/17/2020	56th	31,506	2,503	12.6	16.0	20th	2	1	100.0	0.0
3/18/2020	57th	35,713	2,978	13.4	19.0	21st	7	1	250.0	0.0
3/19/2020	58th	41,035	3,405	14.9	14.3	22nd	11	1	57.1	0.0
3/20/2020	59th	47,021	4,032	14.6	18.4	23rd	12	1	9.1	0.0
3/21/2020	60th	53,578	4,825	13.9	19.7	24th	22	1	83.3	0.0
3/22/2020	61st	59,138	5,475	10.4	13.5	25th	30	2	36.4	100.0
3/23/2020	62nd	63,927	6,077	8.1	11.0	26th	36	2	20.0	0.0
3/24/2020	63rd	69,176	6,820	8.2	12.2	27th	44	2	22.2	0.0
3/25/2020	64th	74,386	7,503	7.5	10.0	28th	51	2	15.9	0.0
3/26/2020	65th	80,539	8,215	8.3	9.5	29th	65	2	27.5	0.0
3/27/2020	66th	86,498	9,134	7.4	11.2	30th	81	3	24.6	50.0
3/28/2020	67th	92,472	10,023	6.9	9.7	31st	97	3	19.8	0.0
3/29/2020	68th	97,389	10,779	5.3	7.5	32nd	111	3	14.4	0.0
3/30/2020	69th	101,739	11,591	4.5	7.5	33rd	131	7	18.0	133.3
3/31/2020	70th	105,792	12,428	4.0	7.2	34th	151	7	15.3	0.0
4/1/2020	71st	110,574	13,155	4.5	5.8	35th	174	7	15.2	0.0
4/2/2020	72nd	115,242	13,915	4.2	5.8	36th	184	7	5.7	0.0
4/3/2020	73rd	119,827	14,681	4.0	5.5	37th	209	7	13.6	0.0
4/4/2020	74th	124,632	15,362	4.0	4.6	38th	214	7	2.4	0.0
4/5/2020	75th	128,948	15,887	3.5	3.4	39th	232	7	8.4	0.0
4/6/2020	76th	132,547	16,523	2.8	4.0	40th	238	7	2.6	0.0
4/7/2020	77th	135,586	17,127	2.3	3.7	41st	254	7	6.7	0.0
4/8/2020	78th	139,422	17,669	2.8	3.2	42nd	274	7	7.9	0.0
4/9/2020	79th	143,626	18,279	3.0	3.5	43rd	288	7	5.1	0.0
4/10/2020	80th	147,577	18,849	2.8	3.1	44th	305	7	5.9	0.0
4/11/2020	81st	152,271	19,468	3.2	3.3	45th	318	10	4.3	42.9
4/12/2020	82nd	156,363	19,899	2.7	2.2	46th	323	10	1.6	0.0
4/13/2020	83rd	159,516	20,465	2.0	2.8	47th	343	10	6.2	0.0
4/14/2020	84th	162,488	21,067	1.9	2.9	48th	373	11	8.7	10.0
4/15/2020	85th	165,155	21,645	1.6	2.7	49th	407	12	9.1	9.1
4/16/2020	86th	168,941	22,170	2.3	2.4	50th	442	13	8.6	8.3
4/17/2020	87th	172,434	22,745	2.1	2.6	51st	493	17	11.5	30.8
4/18/2020	88th	175,925	23,227	2.0	2.1	52nd	541	19	9.7	11.8
4/19/2020	89th	178,972	23,660	1.7	1.9	53rd	627	21	15.9	10.5
4/20/2020	90th	181,228	24,114	1.3	1.9	54th	665	22	6.1	4.8
4/21/2020	91st	183,957	24,648	1.5	2.2	55th	782	25	17.6	13.6
4/22/2020	92nd	187,327	25,085	1.8	1.8	56th	873	28	11.6	12.0
4/23/2020	93rd	189,973	25,549	1.4	1.8	57th	981	31	12.4	10.7
4/24/2020	94th	192,994	25,969	1.6	1.6	58th	1098	35	11.9	12.9
4/25/2020	95th	195,351	26,384	1.2	1.6	59th	1182	35	7.7	0.0
4/26/2020	96th	197,675	26,644	1.2	1.0	60th	1273	40	7.7	14.3

Sources: The Protezione Civile (2020); Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) (2020); and other unpublished works.