[Retracted] Research on Forecast of Macroeconomic Indicators Based on Multiobjective Optimization
Table 7
Analysis and forecast of key macroeconomic indicators.
Key macroeconomic indicators
Correlation index set
Forecast value in 2019
Relative error
GDP growth rate
Industrial growth rate; growth rate of agriculture, forestry, and fishery; growth rate of financial industry; growth rate of real estate industry
6.39%
2.20%
Growth rate of total export commodities
Growth rate of export chemicals and products, growth rate of export textile products, growth rate of export machinery and transportation equipment, growth rate of export miscellaneous products
3.56%
1.52%
Consumer price index ()
Retail price index of commodities (), year-on-year growth rate of total retail sales of social consumer goods
102.3
0.69%
Registered urban unemployment rate
Number of medical and health institutions, natural population growth rate
3.78%
3.90%
Growth rate of urban employment
The pull of the secondary industry on the growth of GDP, total wages of employed persons in urban units
2.13%
3.60%
State fiscal revenue
Per capita GDP, total agricultural output value
19.2 trillion yuan
1.43%
National tax revenue
Gross agricultural output value, power generation
16.7 trillion yuan
1.58%
Total energy consumption
Number of employed persons, export value (RMB), population aged 15-64
47.8100 million tons of standard coal
1.40%
Grain crop yield
Corn yield, proportion of rural population to total population
