Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 3
RAE values of logistic regression models for confirmed cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.099456 | 0.096796 | 0.016089 | 0.097866 | 0.863515 | 0.728601 | 1.374757 | 1.029529 | Test 3 | 13.738489 | 12.770641 | 2.036247 | 2.242518 | 1.178802 | 2.506698 | 0.431483 | 3.609915 | Train 7 | 0.134811 | 0.150769 | 0.03169 | 0.241352 | 0.872565 | 0.799443 | 1.169796 | 0.98824 | Test 7 | 9.055444 | 7.346437 | 1.996374 | 1.767298 | 1.159893 | 1.000194 | 1.29776 | 2.164758 | Train 14 | 0.167535 | 0.186455 | 0.081135 | 0.425016 | 0.908747 | 0.854744 | 1.185605 | 1.133903 | Test 14 | 7.280291 | 4.480851 | 3.934655 | 2.515279 | 1.140845 | 1.144672 | 1.592753 | 2.101503 | Train 21 | 0.228582 | 0.205483 | 0.118545 | 0.514556 | 0.953292 | 0.894041 | 1.321449 | 1.235317 | Test 21 | 5.813652 | 3.54859 | 3.493077 | 2.35823 | 1.10771 | 1.08358 | 1.494972 | 1.998267 | Train 30 | 0.226416 | 0.232743 | 0.16839 | 0.624543 | 0.95244 | 0.708316 | 1.323798 | 1.315643 | Test 30 | 5.064591 | 3.096156 | 3.140794 | 2.235595 | 1.251722 | 1.077815 | 1.263328 | 1.588201 |
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