Review Article

Diabetic Retinopathy Is a Predictor of Progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Table 1

Characteristics of selected studies.

StudyType of studyFollow-up periodType of diabetesAim of studyBasis for DR diagnosis/classificationBasis for DKD diagnosisStudy definition of DKD progressionResultsJBI score

Yamanouchi et al. [32] 2019, Japan (N = 232)Retrospective5.7 years (median)Type 2(1) To evaluate the association between clinical findings in the retina and pathological lesions in kidney biopsy specimens and (2) to quantify the risk for ESKD, according to the severity of diabetic retinopathy, in patients with type 2 diabetes and biopsy-proven DKDReview of medical records on retinal/fundus Examination
DR classification: ICDR scale
Biopsy-proven DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as initiation of any hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, or renal transplantation, or death from uremia)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for each DR stage, relative to no DR
Mild NPDR: 1.35 (0.49–3.76)
Moderate NPDR: 2.89 (1.42–5.86)
Severe NPDR: 5.00 (2.63–9.52)
PDR: 5.32 (2.89–9.78)
10
Hsing et al. [33] 2020, Taiwan (N = 1329)Retrospective1.97 years (mean)Type 2To evaluate the renal disease progression (ESKD and CKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes and with/without DKD according to DR severityFundus photographs analysed by deep learning models and confirmed by ophthalmologist
DR classification: ICDR scale
Presumed DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as initiation of any hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, renal transplantation or death from uremia)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for each DR stage, relative to no DR
Mild NPDR: 2.35 (1.01–5.43)
Moderate NPDR: 5.96 (2.99–11.89)
Severe NPDR: 2.79 (1.16–6.75)
PDR: 6.98 (2.22–21.94)
9
HR (95% CI) of CKD for each DR stage, relative to no DR for subjects without CKD initially (n=841):
Mild NPDR: 3.46 (0.92–12.98)
Moderate NPDR: 8.75 (2.74–27.92)
Severe NPDR: 5.73 (1.64–20.04)
PDR: 14.21 (1.55–130.67)
Zhao et al. [34] 2020, China (N = 91)Retrospective15 months (median)Type 2(1) To classify DR as mild, moderate, or severe nonproliferative, or proliferative by artificial intelligence and an ophthalmologist, in Chinese patients with biopsy-confirmed DKD
(2) To determine whether the severity of DR at the time of biopsy can predict progression to ESKD and
(3) To characterize the relationship between DR and DKD in patients with DKD
Digital fundus photographs analysed by the lesion-aware deep learning system (RetinalNET)
DR classification: early treatment diabetic retinopathy study severity scale (ETDRS)
Biopsy-proven DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as eGFR<15 ml/min/1.73 m2, or the use of renal replacement therapy)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for DR, relative to no DR: 2.23 (1.51–3.29)10
ESRD (n,%) for each stage of baseline DR: no DR: (0,0%), mild: (1, 9.1%), moderate: (13, 30.2%), severe: (6, 46.2%), PDR: (5, 55.6%)
Mottl et al. [35] 2014, USA (N = 3210)Prospective4 years (mean)Type 2To evaluate specificity of DR for renal versus CV diseaseFundus photographs evaluated by trained graders
DR classification: ETDRS final diabetic retinopathy severity scale
Presumed DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as eGFR<15 ml/min/1.73m2 or if a participant was on dialysis or received renal transplantation)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for moderate/severe DR, relative to no/mild DR: 1.05 (0.64, 1.73)10
Zhang et al. [36] 2018, China (N = 141)Retrospective19 months (median)Type 2To identify whether DR was associated with the progression of DKD in patients with T2DM and biopsy-proven DKDOphthalmoscopy, equivocal diagnosis was validated with optical coherence tomography and fundus colour photography
DR classification: NR
Biopsy-proven DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as eGFR<15 mL/min/1.73 m2 or the initiation of renal replacement therapy)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for DR, relative to no DR: 2.264(1.309–3.917)10
Hung et al. [37] 2017, Taiwan (N = 1330)Prospective2.9 years (median)Types 1 and 2To study if longer diabetes duration, DR, and a diagnostic model were associated with less favourable renal outcomes, cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in nonbiopsied patients with DKDFundoscopy/digital fundus photography examination
DR classification: background, preproliferative, and proliferative changes
Presumed DKDProgression to ESKD (defined as initiation of hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, or renal transplantation)HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for DR, relative to no DR: 2.56 (1.81–3.62)9
Alwakeel et al. [38] 2011, Saudi Arabia (N = 621)Retrospective9.9 years (mean)Type 2To evaluate the pattern and changes in GFR over time and investigate the potential risk factors associated with enhanced loss of renal function and all-cause mortality among Saudis with type 2 diabetes and nephropathyNRPresumed DKDDrop in KDIGO GFR categoryHR (95% CI) of CKD progression for DR, relative to no DR: 1.8 (1.3–2.3)10
Hong et al. [39] 2021, USA (N = 1759)Retrospective14.2 years (median)Types 1 and 2To examine the association between retinopathy and kidney disease in persons with diabetes in the community-based atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) studyFundus photographs assessed by masked graders. DR classification: early treatment diabetic retinopathy study severity scalePresumed DKDIncident ESKD [defined by linkage to the US renal data system (USRDS)]HR (95% CI) of ESKD risk for DR, relative to no DR: 2.92 (2.00–4.26)9
Lin et al. [40] 2019, Singapore (N = 4050)Prospective<1 yearTypes 1 and 2To evaluate the characteristics of CKD patients, with or without DR, and examine the relation between DR and its severity on the decline rate in the eGFR in stages 1–5 CKD patientsDilated fundus examination and fluorescein angiography
DR classification: no apparent signs of DR: normal; microaneurysms, hard exudates, intraretinal hemorrhages, venous beading, or prominent intraretinal microvascular abnormality: early stage, nonproliferative DR (NPDR); and retinal or optic disk neovascularization, vitreous hemorrhage, or preretinal hemorrhage: late stage, proliferative DR (PDR)
Presumed DKDeGFR decline by more than 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/yearOR (95% CI) of DKD progression for DR, relative to no DR: 1.75 (1.48–2.07)10
Park et al. [41] 2019, Korea (N = 1592)Retrospective5.6 years (mean)Type 2To assess the value of DR severity to predict renal dysfunction and albuminuria progression in type 2 DM patientsSlit-lamp examination, indirect ophthalmoscopy and/or fluorescein angiography
DR classification: no DR, NPDR and PDR
Presumed DKDDecline in GFR category accompanied by ≥25% eGFR drop OR sustained decline in eGFR of more than 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/yearOR (95% CI) of DKD progression for DR, relative to no DR
NPDR: 4.05 (2.993–5.488)
PDR: 9.293 (6.569–13.146)
10