Research Article

Development and Validation of a Novel Nomogram to Predict the Risk of Intervertebral Disc Degeneration

Table 1

Characteristics of participants in the training group and the validation group.

VariablesNo. (%) value
Training group (217)Validation group (92)

IVDD
 No125 (57.60)52 (56.52)0.0310.86
 Yes92 (42.40)40 (43.48)
Age, year
 ≤3071 (32.72)27 (29.35)2.1840.336
 >30 and ≤6082 (37.79)30 (32.61)
 >6064 (29.49)35 (38.04)
Sex
 Male115 (53.00)42 (45.65)1.3940.238
 Female102 (47.00)50 (54.35)
Smoking
 No117 (53.92)51 (55.43)0.0600.807
 Yes100 (46.08)41 (44.57)
Drinking
 No122 (56.22)49 (53.26)0.2290.632
 Yes95 (43.78)43 (46.74)
BMI
 <18.536 (16.59)13 (14.13)5.9850.112
 ≥18.5 and<2463 (29.03)35 (38.04)
 ≥24 and <2875 (34.56)35 (38.04)
 ≥2843 (19.82)9 (9.78)
Hypertension
 No148 (68.20)70 (76.09)3.7120.294
 Mild24 (11.06)5 (5.43)
 Moderate18 (8.29)9 (9.78)
 Severe27 (12.44)8 (8.70)
Diabetes
 No162 (74.65)62 (67.39)1.7090.191
 Yes55 (25.35)30 (32.61)
Gout
 No172 (79.26)74 (80.43)0.0550.815
 Yes45 (20.74)18 (19.57)
Marital status
 No111 (51.15)46 (50.00)0.0340.853
 Yes106 (48.85)46 (50.00)
Working posture
 Immobilized138 (63.59)62 (67.39)0.4080.523
 Mobilized79 (36.41)30 (32.61)
Exercising hours/week
 ≤0.555 (25.35)24 (26.09)0.8970.826
58 (26.73)20 (21.74)
 >1.5 and ≤349 (22.58)23 (25.00)
 >355 (25.35)25 (27.17)
Education level
 High school82 (37.79)31 (33.70)1.6060.448
 Bachelor degree99 (45.62)49 (53.26)
 Graduate degree36 (16.59)12 (13.04)
Modic changes
 No153 (70.51)66 (71.74)0.0480.827
 Yes64 (29.49)26 (28.26)
Osteophytes
 No152 (70.05)63 (68.48)0.0750.784
 Yes65 (29.95)29 (31.52)
Ca2+
 Normal153 (70.51)67 (72.83)0.2690.874
 Low36 (16.59)15 (16.30)
 High28 (12.9)10 (10.87)
Hb
 Normal171 (78.80)69 (75.00)3.2880.193
 Low33 (15.21)12 (13.04)
 High13 (5.99)11 (11.96)
Lumbar puncture
 No166 (76.50)71 (77.17)0.0170.898
 Yes51 (23.50)21 (22.83)